Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ilves to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Ilves vs Turku PS preview and prediction
The match
The Suomen Cup sees Ilves take on Turku PS on Wednesday 27 May, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Tammelan Stadion.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Gnistan 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Turku PS's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Inter Turku 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Ilves and 1.0 for Turku PS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 65%, draw 22%, Turku PS 13%.
Safer route: Ilves or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Ilves to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ilves or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ilves 2–0 Turku PS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
Turku PS13%fair 7.46 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.26Ilves xG
0.99Turku PS xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ilves 2.3 – 1.0 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✓
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Ilves or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Ilves ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Ilves – last 6
WLWWDL
23 May
vs Gnistan
2–0
W
20 May
vs Inter Turku
1–3
L
13 May
@ P-Iirot
4–0
W
8 May
vs AC Oulu
1–0
W
2 May
@ SJK
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ VPS
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Turku PS – last 6
LWDWWW
23 May
@ Inter Turku
1–2
L
13 May
vs HJS Akatemia
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Gnistan
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ EIF
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Lahti
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs PK-35
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilves and Turku PS.
Our pick is Ilves or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ilves vs Turku PS?
On our numbers Ilves have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Turku PS 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Turku PS?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Ilves 2–0 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Turku PS?
Ilves vs Turku PS (Suomen Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suomen Cup · Finland · Tammelan Stadion
