Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Maghreb Fès to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaghreb Fès to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceMaghreb Fès or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès preview and prediction
The match
Yacoub El Mansour host Maghreb Fès in the Cup on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Yacoub El Mansour's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Maghreb Fès's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Raja Casablanca 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Maghreb Fès arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Yacoub El Mansour 1–2 Maghreb Fès.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Yacoub El Mansour and 1.7 for Maghreb Fès. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Maghreb Fès to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Yacoub El Mansour 0–1 Maghreb Fès. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yacoub El Mansour13%fair 7.41 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Maghreb Fès65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
2.32Expected goals
0.60Yacoub El Mansour xG
1.72Maghreb Fès xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 0.6 – 1.7 Maghreb Fès expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?
On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maghreb Fès 65%.
How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?
Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 0–1 Maghreb Fès, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?
Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Morocco
Chabab Atl. Khenifra0
CODM Meknès2