Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓69% · @1.15
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host Gandzasar in the Premier League on Wednesday 27 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Gandzasar sit 12th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat BKMA 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gandzasar's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Pyunik Yerevan 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Ararat-Armenia and 0.8 for Gandzasar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Gandzasar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia69%fair 1.45 · @1.15
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @6.00
Gandzasar12%fair 8.08 · @14.00
3.03Expected goals
2.21Ararat-Armenia xG
0.82Gandzasar xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 2.2 – 0.8 Gandzasar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
69%
1.45
1.15
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WLWDWL
17 May
@ BKMA
3–2
W
10 May
vs FC Noah
0–4
L
6 May
vs Pyunik Yerevan
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Shirak
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gandzasar – last 6
LLLWDL
18 May
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–2
L
9 May
@ Alashkert
1–3
L
6 May
vs FC Noah
1–4
L
26 Apr
vs Shirak
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ BKMA
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and Gandzasar.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gandzasar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Gandzasar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar?
Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
