Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Palermo to win @ 1.84 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✓65% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Palermo vs Catanzaro preview and prediction
The match
Palermo host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Catanzaro 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Catanzaro's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Palermo 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Catanzaro 3–0 Palermo. Across their last 2 meetings Palermo have won 1, Catanzaro 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Palermo and 0.9 for Catanzaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Palermo to win at 1.84 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo65%fair 1.55 · @1.84
Draw15%fair 6.74 · @4.10
Catanzaro21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
2.85Expected goals
1.93Palermo xG
0.92Catanzaro xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 0.9 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Palermo vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Palermo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Catanzaro 21%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Palermo vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
