Palermo travel to Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in the Serie B on Sunday 17 May (19:00 WAT) to face Catanzaro. Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Palermo sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Catanzaro's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Avellino 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Palermo's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Venezia 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Catanzaro and 1.4 for Palermo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Catanzaro 1–1 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Catanzaro36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Palermo41%fair 2.44 · @2.32
2.69Expected goals
1.29Catanzaro xG
1.40Palermo xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.3 – 1.4 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Palermo?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Palermo?
Catanzaro vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.