AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees AF Elbasani take on Egnatia Rrogozhinë on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Air Albania Stadium. AF Elbasani are 6th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AF Elbasani's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Tirana 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tirana 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 AF Elbasani. Across their last 2 meetings AF Elbasani have won 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for AF Elbasani and 1.0 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AF Elbasani 46%, draw 24%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: AF Elbasani 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AF Elbasani46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Egnatia Rrogozhinë30%fair 3.28 · @3.40
2.26Expected goals
1.29AF Elbasani xG
0.98Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.3 – 1.0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Air Albania Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
