Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Union Comercio to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceUnion Comercio or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Union Comercio take on Deportivo Llacuabamba on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT). Union Comercio are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Deportivo Llacuabamba sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Union Comercio and 0.5 for Deportivo Llacuabamba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Comercio 66%, draw 20%, Deportivo Llacuabamba 15%.
Safer route: Union Comercio or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Comercio to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Comercio 1–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Comercio66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Deportivo Llacuabamba15%fair 6.86 · @4.10
2.15Expected goals
1.60Union Comercio xG
0.54Deportivo Llacuabamba xG
40%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.6 – 0.5 Deportivo Llacuabamba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✗
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Form
Union Comercio – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ San Marcos
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Llacuabamba – last 1
W
29 Mar
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Deportivo Llacuabamba.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Llacuabamba 15%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
