Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca preview and prediction
The match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas host CF Pachuca in the Liga MX on Monday 18 May, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while CF Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to CF Pachuca 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
CF Pachuca's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 May 2026, finished CF Pachuca 1–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Across their last 2 meetings U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 1, CF Pachuca 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.4 for CF Pachuca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: CF Pachuca to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
CF Pachuca37%fair 2.69 · @2.95
2.84Expected goals
1.46U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.38CF Pachuca xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.5 – 1.4 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CF Pachuca 37%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
