Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview and prediction
The match
CF Pachuca host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX on Friday 15 May, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. CF Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CF Pachuca's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Toluca 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Club America 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Pachuca 0–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for CF Pachuca and 1.3 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CF Pachuca 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Pachuca45%fair 2.20 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
U.N.A.M. - Pumas34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
2.81Expected goals
1.53CF Pachuca xG
1.28U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 1.5 – 1.3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 34%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
