Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Cruz Azul take on Guadalajara Chivas on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Atlas 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Tigres UANL 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Cruz Azul 2–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Cruz Azul and 1.2 for Guadalajara Chivas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul47%fair 2.11 · @2.18
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Guadalajara Chivas32%fair 3.15 · @3.15
2.78Expected goals
1.56Cruz Azul xG
1.22Guadalajara Chivas xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 1.6 – 1.2 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadalajara Chivas 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
