Rosario Central vs Racing Club prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Club to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosario Central to win ✗43% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Rosario Central vs Racing Club preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Rosario Central take on Racing Club on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 22:45 (WAT) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Rosario Central are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Racing Club sit 23rd on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rosario Central's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Club's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Botafogo 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Rosario Central and 1.0 for Racing Club. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rosario Central 43%, draw 24%, Racing Club 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Racing Club to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Rosario Central 1–1 Racing Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosario Central43%fair 2.32 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Racing Club33%fair 3.01 · @3.45
2.19Expected goals
1.19Rosario Central xG
1.00Racing Club xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.2 – 1.0 Racing Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win✗
43%
2.32
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Form
Rosario Central – last 6
WWWWWD
5 May
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ UCV
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Racing Club – last 6
LDDLLW
7 May
@ Botafogo
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Caracas FC
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Barracas Central
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Botafogo
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs River Plate
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central and Racing Club.
What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
On our numbers Rosario Central have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Club 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central 1–1 Racing Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
Rosario Central vs Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
