Value bet: Sportivo Carapeguá to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Carapeguá to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá preview and prediction
The match
Paraguari AC host Sportivo Carapeguá in the Division Intermedia on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Paraguari AC are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Carapeguá sit 7th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paraguari AC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Resistencia 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sportivo Carapeguá's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to 12 de Junio VH 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Carapeguá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Paraguari AC and 1.5 for Sportivo Carapeguá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paraguari AC 33%, draw 23%, Sportivo Carapeguá 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sportivo Carapeguá to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Paraguari AC 1–1 Sportivo Carapeguá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paraguari AC33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Sportivo Carapeguá44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
2.67Expected goals
1.21Paraguari AC xG
1.46Sportivo Carapeguá xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Paraguari AC 1.2 – 1.5 Sportivo Carapeguá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Carapeguá to win✗
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Carapeguá / FT Sportivo Carapeguá✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Paraguari AC – last 6
LLDLLW
8 May
@ Resistencia
0–2
L
1 May
vs 12 de Junio VH
0–1
L
24 Apr
@ SOL DE America
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Encarnación
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Deportivo Capiata
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Santani
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Carapeguá – last 4
LWWL
8 May
vs 12 de Junio VH
1–3
L
27 Apr
vs Deportivo Santani
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Fernando De La Mora
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ General Caballero
2–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguari AC and Sportivo Carapeguá.
What is the prediction for Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
On our numbers Paraguari AC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Carapeguá 44%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Our predicted score is Paraguari AC 1–1 Sportivo Carapeguá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapeguá (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
