Value bet: Resistencia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultResistencia to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia preview and prediction
The match
Resistencia travel to face 3 de Noviembre in the Division Intermedia on Sunday 24 May (14:00 WAT). 3 de Noviembre are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Resistencia sit 8th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
3 de Noviembre's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to SOL DE America 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Resistencia's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with General Caballero 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Resistencia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for 3 de Noviembre and 1.2 for Resistencia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: 3 de Noviembre 31%, draw 23%, Resistencia 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Resistencia to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: 3 de Noviembre 1–1 Resistencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
3 de Noviembre31%fair 3.18 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Resistencia45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
2.06Expected goals
0.903 de Noviembre xG
1.16Resistencia xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: 3 de Noviembre 0.9 – 1.2 Resistencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Resistencia to win✗
45%
2.22
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Resistencia / FT Resistencia✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
3 de Noviembre – last 4
LDLD
20 May
@ SOL DE America
0–2
L
14 May
vs Deportivo Capiata
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Atlético Tembetary
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Benjamín Aceval
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Resistencia – last 5
DWLDL
21 May
vs General Caballero
2–2
D
8 May
vs Paraguari AC
2–0
W
3 May
vs SOL DE America
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Independiente F.b.c.
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atlético Tembetary
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 3 de Noviembre and Resistencia.
What is the prediction for 3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win 3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia?
On our numbers 3 de Noviembre have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Resistencia 45%.
How many goals will there be in 3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia?
Our predicted score is 3 de Noviembre 1–1 Resistencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is 3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia?
3 de Noviembre vs Resistencia (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
