Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Independiente F.b.c. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Independiente F.b.c. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente F.b.c. to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceIndependiente F.b.c. or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani preview and prediction
The match
The Division Intermedia sees Independiente F.b.c. take on Deportivo Santani on Tuesday 19 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Independiente F.b.c. are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Santani sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente F.b.c.'s last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Fernando De La Mora 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Santani's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Atlético Tembetary 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Independiente F.b.c. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Independiente F.b.c. and 0.6 for Deportivo Santani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Independiente F.b.c. or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Independiente F.b.c. to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente F.b.c. or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Independiente F.b.c. 1–0 Deportivo Santani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente F.b.c.61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Deportivo Santani17%fair 5.97 · @3.90
2.21Expected goals
1.56Independiente F.b.c. xG
0.65Deportivo Santani xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Independiente F.b.c. 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo Santani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente F.b.c. to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Independiente F.b.c. or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente F.b.c. / FT Independiente F.b.c.✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Independiente F.b.c. – last 4
DWDW
14 May
@ Fernando De La Mora
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Guairena FC
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Resistencia
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs SOL DE America
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Santani – last 6
DLLLWL
11 May
@ Atlético Tembetary
1–1
D
4 May
vs Benjamín Aceval
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Sportivo Carapeguá
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs 12 de Junio VH
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Encarnación
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Paraguari AC
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente F.b.c. and Deportivo Santani.
What is the prediction for Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani?
Our pick is Independiente F.b.c. or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani?
On our numbers Independiente F.b.c. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Santani 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani?
Our predicted score is Independiente F.b.c. 1–0 Deportivo Santani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani?
Independiente F.b.c. vs Deportivo Santani (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
