Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.25
Double chanceNew Zealand W or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
New Zealand W vs Haiti W preview and prediction
The match
Haiti W travel to face New Zealand W in the Friendlies Women on Friday 5 June (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
New Zealand W's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Papua New Guinea W 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 5.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Haiti W's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Dominican Republic W 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New Zealand W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for New Zealand W and 1.3 for Haiti W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Zealand W 24%, draw 57%, Haiti W 19%.
Safer route: New Zealand W or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New Zealand W or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New Zealand W 1–1 Haiti W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Zealand W24%fair 4.11 · @2.25
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.25
Haiti W19%fair 5.26 · @2.90
2.67Expected goals
1.39New Zealand W xG
1.28Haiti W xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: New Zealand W 1.4 – 1.3 Haiti W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.25 ▲
Double chance
New Zealand W or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Zealand W / FT New Zealand W✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
New Zealand W – last 4
WWWW
15 Apr
@ Papua New Guinea W
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ American Samoa W
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs Solomon Islands W
8–0
W
27 Feb
vs Samoa W
8–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Haiti W – last 3
DWW
18 Apr
vs Dominican Republic W
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Anguilla W
5–0
W
3 Mar
@ Suriname W
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand W and Haiti W.
What is the prediction for New Zealand W vs Haiti W?
Our pick is New Zealand W or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win New Zealand W vs Haiti W?
On our numbers New Zealand W have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Haiti W 19%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand W vs Haiti W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand W vs Haiti W?
Our predicted score is New Zealand W 1–1 Haiti W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is New Zealand W vs Haiti W?
New Zealand W vs Haiti W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
