Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC host Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Monday 18 May, with kick-off at 01:40 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Barranquilla 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Cartagena's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Union Magdalena 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Real Cartagena 2–0 Bogota FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Bogota FC and 1.3 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 34%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Real Cartagena43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
2.33Expected goals
1.08Bogota FC xG
1.25Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.1 – 1.3 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 43%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 01:40 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.