Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Barranquilla take on Union Magdalena on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Barranquilla's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Bogota FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Union Magdalena's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Real Cartagena 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Union Magdalena 2–0 Barranquilla. Across their last 2 meetings Barranquilla have won 0, Union Magdalena 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Barranquilla and 1.8 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barranquilla 20%, draw 20%, Union Magdalena 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Union Magdalena to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Barranquilla 0–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla20%fair 5.07 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.35
Union Magdalena61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
2.61Expected goals
0.85Barranquilla xG
1.76Union Magdalena xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 0.8 – 1.8 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Magdalena 61%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
