Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Herediano to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.58
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees CS Herediano take on Deportivo Saprissa on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Alvarado. CS Herediano are 8th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CS Herediano's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Saprissa 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Saprissa's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat CS Herediano 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Deportivo Saprissa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Deportivo Saprissa 2–1 CS Herediano. Across their last 2 meetings CS Herediano have won 0, Deportivo Saprissa 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for CS Herediano and 1.2 for Deportivo Saprissa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Deportivo Saprissa to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CS Herediano 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CS Herediano41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Deportivo Saprissa35%fair 2.85 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.34CS Herediano xG
1.21Deportivo Saprissa xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
On our numbers CS Herediano have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Saprissa 35%.
How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Alvarado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
