Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMartina Franca to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Martina Franca vs Paganese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Martina Franca take on Paganese on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Martina Franca's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Nola 1925 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Paganese's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Città di Fasano 0–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Paganese 3–2 Martina Franca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Martina Franca and 1.0 for Paganese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Martina Franca 46%, draw 22%, Paganese 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Martina Franca 1–0 Paganese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Martina Franca46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Paganese32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.26Expected goals
1.26Martina Franca xG
0.99Paganese xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Martina Franca 1.3 – 1.0 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Paganese?
On our numbers Martina Franca have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paganese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Martina Franca vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Martina Franca 1–0 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Martina Franca vs Paganese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
