Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLigorna to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Ligorna vs Città di Varese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Ligorna take on Città di Varese on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Chisola 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Città di Varese's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Lavagnese 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Città di Varese 1–3 Ligorna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Ligorna and 0.6 for Città di Varese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ligorna 66%, draw 25%, Città di Varese 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ligorna to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Città di Varese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna66%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Città di Varese9%fair 10.80 · @5.50
2.52Expected goals
1.89Ligorna xG
0.62Città di Varese xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.6 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Città di Varese 9%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Ligorna vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
