Value bet: Al Tadhamon to win @ 2.72 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Tadhamon to win ✓43% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon preview and prediction
The match
Al Tadhamon travel to face Al Shabab in the Premier League on Friday 29 May (17:20 WAT). Al Shabab are 8th with 8 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Al Tadhamon sit 10th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Tadhamon's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Al Qadsia 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Al Shabab and 1.4 for Al Tadhamon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Shabab 35%, draw 22%, Al Tadhamon 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Al Tadhamon to win at 2.72 – 43% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Al Shabab 1–1 Al Tadhamon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Shabab35%fair 2.85 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Al Tadhamon43%fair 2.32 · @2.72
2.59Expected goals
1.21Al Shabab xG
1.38Al Tadhamon xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 1.2 – 1.4 Al Tadhamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Tadhamon to win✓
43%
2.32
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Tadhamon / FT Al Tadhamon✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Al Shabab – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Al Kuwait
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Tadhamon – last 5
LDWWD
25 May
vs Al Qadsia
0–1
L
21 May
@ Al Arabi
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Al Jahra
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Kazma
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Al Jahra
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al Tadhamon.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Tadhamon 43%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 1–1 Al Tadhamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?
Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
