Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Gramadense to win @ 2.35 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGramadense to win ✓47% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.82
Gramadense vs Monsoon preview and prediction
The match
Monsoon travel to face Gramadense in the Copa Gaúcha on Thursday 11 June (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Gramadense's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Brasil Farroupilha 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Monsoon's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Santa Cruz RS 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gramadense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Monsoon 1–2 Gramadense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Gramadense and 1.0 for Monsoon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Gramadense to win at 2.35 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Gramadense 1–1 Monsoon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gramadense47%fair 2.13 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Monsoon31%fair 3.27 · @2.90
2.35Expected goals
1.35Gramadense xG
1.01Monsoon xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Gramadense 1.3 – 1.0 Monsoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Gramadense vs Monsoon?
On our numbers Gramadense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monsoon 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gramadense vs Monsoon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gramadense vs Monsoon?
Our predicted score is Gramadense 1–1 Monsoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gramadense vs Monsoon?
Gramadense vs Monsoon (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
