Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Cruz RS to win ✓51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon preview and prediction
The match
Monsoon travel to face Santa Cruz RS in the Copa Gaúcha on Saturday 30 May (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Monsoon's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Gramadense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Santa Cruz RS and 0.8 for Monsoon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz RS 51%, draw 23%, Monsoon 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Santa Cruz RS 1–0 Monsoon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz RS51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Monsoon26%fair 3.81 · @3.60
2.06Expected goals
1.27Santa Cruz RS xG
0.79Monsoon xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz RS 1.3 – 0.8 Monsoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Cruz RS to win✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Cruz RS / FT Santa Cruz RS✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Santa Cruz RS – last 1
W
13 May
@ Gramadense
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monsoon – last 3
LDD
24 May
vs Gramadense
1–2
L
21 May
@ Brasil Farroupilha
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Avenida
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Cruz RS and Monsoon.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon?
On our numbers Santa Cruz RS have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monsoon 26%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz RS 1–0 Monsoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon?
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
