San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Coquimbo Unido or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Coquimbo Unido to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.84
San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Chile sees San Marcos de Arica take on Coquimbo Unido on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Deportes Limache 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Deportes Limache 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Coquimbo Unido arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for San Marcos de Arica and 1.9 for Coquimbo Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 14%, draw 25%, Coquimbo Unido 61%.
Safer route: Coquimbo Unido or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Coquimbo Unido to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Coquimbo Unido or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 0–1 Coquimbo Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica14%fair 7.13 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.55
Coquimbo Unido61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
2.69Expected goals
0.81San Marcos de Arica xG
1.87Coquimbo Unido xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 0.8 – 1.9 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Coquimbo Unido or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Coquimbo Unido ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.84
–
Form
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LLLWDD
20 Jun
vs Deportes Limache
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ San Luis
0–1
L
31 May
vs Deportes Temuco
0–1
L
24 May
@ D. Puerto Montt
2–0
W
17 May
vs Antofagasta
1–1
D
12 May
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 6
DWDWWL
23 Jun
vs Deportes Limache
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Deportes Iquique
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs O'Higgins
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Concepción
2–1
W
31 May
@ Deportes Limache
3–2
W
27 May
@ Club Nacional
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Coquimbo Unido or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coquimbo Unido 61%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 0–1 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido?
San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo Unido (Copa Chile) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
