Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC host Barranquilla in the Primera B on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Barranquilla sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Barranquilla's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Union Magdalena 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Barranquilla 1–1 Bogota FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Bogota FC and 0.7 for Barranquilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 64%, draw 24%, Barranquilla 12%.
Safer route: Bogota FC or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Barranquilla12%fair 8.09 · @4.00
2.44Expected goals
1.79Bogota FC xG
0.66Barranquilla xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.8 – 0.7 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barranquilla 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
