Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union Magdalena take on Real Cartagena on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Cartagena's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Union Magdalena 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Real Cartagena 2–1 Union Magdalena. Across their last 2 meetings Union Magdalena have won 0, Real Cartagena 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Union Magdalena and 0.9 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 56%, draw 20%, Real Cartagena 24%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Magdalena to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.25
Real Cartagena24%fair 4.08 · @3.60
2.49Expected goals
1.58Union Magdalena xG
0.91Real Cartagena xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.6 – 0.9 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Cartagena 24%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
