Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✓63% · @1.61
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Colombia sees Independiente Medellin take on Cucuta on Tuesday 2 June, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Independiente Medellin are 1st with 8 points from 4 games, while Cucuta sit 4th on 3 points.
Form guide
Independiente Medellin's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Leones FC 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cucuta's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Fortaleza FC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Independiente Medellin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Independiente Medellin and 0.5 for Cucuta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cucuta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Medellin63%fair 1.60 · @1.61
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.65
Cucuta14%fair 7.01 · @5.10
1.89Expected goals
1.41Independiente Medellin xG
0.47Cucuta xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.4 – 0.5 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
63%
1.60
1.61
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.67
–
Form
Independiente Medellin – last 6
DLWDWW
30 May
@ Leones FC
1–1
D
27 May
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
21 May
@ Cusco
3–2
W
16 May
@ Orsomarso
1–1
D
11 May
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
1 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 6
DDDDLW
29 May
vs Fortaleza FC
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–0
D
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
10 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cucuta 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
