Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Santa Fe vs America de Cali preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Santa Fe take on America de Cali on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Santa Fe are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while America de Cali sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Santa Fe's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with America de Cali 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
America de Cali's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Santa Fe 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished America de Cali 1–1 Santa Fe. Across their last 2 meetings Santa Fe have won 0, America de Cali 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Santa Fe and 1.1 for America de Cali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 43%, draw 22%, America de Cali 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: America de Cali to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–1 America de Cali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
America de Cali35%fair 2.88 · @3.35
2.33Expected goals
1.25Santa Fe xG
1.08America de Cali xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.2 – 1.1 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santa Fe vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and America de Cali 35%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs America de Cali?
Santa Fe vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
