Value bet: Junior to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Once Caldas vs Junior preview and prediction
The match
Once Caldas host Junior in the Primera A on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Palogrande. Once Caldas are 8th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Junior sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Once Caldas's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Atletico Nacional 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Junior's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Once Caldas and 1.3 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Once Caldas 44%, draw 21%, Junior 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Junior to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–1 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Once Caldas44%fair 2.27 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Junior35%fair 2.85 · @3.25
2.74Expected goals
1.47Once Caldas xG
1.27Junior xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.5 – 1.3 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
44%
2.27
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Once Caldas – last 6
WWDDDL
2 May
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Internacional de Bogota
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
LWLWLD
8 May
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
3 May
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–3
W
29 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Junior.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Junior?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Junior 35%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Junior?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Junior?
Once Caldas vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
