Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pachuca W to win @ 2.76 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca W to win ✗40% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W preview and prediction
The match
Pachuca W travel to Cancha El Barrial in the Liga MX Femenil on Monday 11 May (01:15 WAT) to face Monterrey W. Monterrey W are 2nd with 37 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Pachuca W sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterrey W's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Pachuca W 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pachuca W's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Monterrey W 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Pachuca W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Pachuca W 2–0 Monterrey W. Across their last 2 meetings Monterrey W have won 1, Pachuca W 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Monterrey W and 1.7 for Pachuca W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey W 38%, draw 22%, Pachuca W 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Pachuca W to win at 2.76 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Monterrey W 1–1 Pachuca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey W38%fair 2.62 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Pachuca W40%fair 2.52 · @2.76
3.31Expected goals
1.63Monterrey W xG
1.67Pachuca W xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 1.6 – 1.7 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pachuca W 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 1–1 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
