Value bet: Robur Siena to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrato to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Prato vs Robur Siena preview and prediction
The match
Robur Siena travel to face Prato in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). Prato are 1st with 25 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Robur Siena sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Prato's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Montevarchi Calcio 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Robur Siena's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Sporting Trestina 4–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Prato arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Prato 3–3 Robur Siena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Prato and 1.2 for Robur Siena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Prato 41%, draw 24%, Robur Siena 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Robur Siena to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Prato 1–1 Robur Siena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prato41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Robur Siena36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.47Expected goals
1.29Prato xG
1.19Robur Siena xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Prato 1.3 – 1.2 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Prato vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Prato have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Robur Siena 36%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Robur Siena?
Prato vs Robur Siena (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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