Value bet: Reggina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReggina to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.26
Reggina vs AC Palermo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Reggina take on AC Palermo on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Oreste Granillo. Reggina are 1st with 26 points from 11 games (top of the table), while AC Palermo sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Reggina's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sambiase 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AC Palermo's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Ragusa 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Reggina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished AC Palermo 0–1 Reggina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Reggina and 0.8 for AC Palermo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Reggina 59%, draw 20%, AC Palermo 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Reggina to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Reggina 1–0 AC Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reggina59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.30
AC Palermo21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
2.48Expected goals
1.64Reggina xG
0.84AC Palermo xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Reggina 1.6 – 0.8 AC Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Reggina vs AC Palermo?
On our numbers Reggina have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AC Palermo 21%.
How many goals will there be in Reggina vs AC Palermo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reggina vs AC Palermo?
Our predicted score is Reggina 1–0 AC Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Reggina vs AC Palermo?
Reggina vs AC Palermo (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Oreste Granillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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