Value bet: Sohar to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nahda to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Al-Nahda vs Sohar preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Al-Nahda take on Sohar on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Al-Rustaq Sports Complex.
Form guide
Al-Nahda's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Al Nasr 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sohar's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Al Nasr 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Nahda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Sohar 1–2 Al-Nahda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Al-Nahda and 1.1 for Sohar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nahda 47%, draw 23%, Sohar 30%.
Value angle: Sohar to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Al-Nahda 1–1 Sohar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nahda47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Sohar30%fair 3.34 · @3.60
2.60Expected goals
1.49Al-Nahda xG
1.11Sohar xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Nahda 1.5 – 1.1 Sohar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al-Nahda vs Sohar?
On our numbers Al-Nahda have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sohar 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nahda vs Sohar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nahda vs Sohar?
Our predicted score is Al-Nahda 1–1 Sohar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Nahda vs Sohar?
Al-Nahda vs Sohar (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Al-Rustaq Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
