Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Pogradeci take on Kastrioti Krujë on Thursday 7 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gjorgji Kycyku Stadium.
Form guide
Pogradeci's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Luftëtari 0–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kastrioti Krujë's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Lushnja 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Pogradeci and 0.8 for Kastrioti Krujë. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci70%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
Kastrioti Krujë10%fair 9.69 · @12.00
2.92Expected goals
2.11Pogradeci xG
0.80Kastrioti Krujë xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.8 Kastrioti Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
70%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Pogradeci – last 6
LLWWWW
3 May
@ Luftëtari
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Laci
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Burreli
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Apolonia Fier
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kastrioti Krujë – last 6
WLLWLW
3 May
@ Lushnja
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Skenderbeu Korce
0–4
L
22 Mar
vs FK Kukesi
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Burreli
5–2
W
28 Feb
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Apolonia Fier
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Kastrioti Krujë.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kastrioti Krujë 10%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë (Superliga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gjorgji Kycyku Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
Besa Kavajë2