Stockport County vs Stevenage prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Stockport County or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Stockport County to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStockport County to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Stockport County vs Stevenage preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Stockport County take on Stevenage on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Edgeley Park. Stockport County are 2nd with 26 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Stevenage sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stockport County's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Port Vale 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Stevenage's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Barnsley 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stockport County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Stockport County and 0.8 for Stevenage. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stockport County 58%, draw 23%, Stevenage 19%.
Safer route: Stockport County or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Stockport County to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stockport County or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Stockport County 1–0 Stevenage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stockport County58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Stevenage19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.64Stockport County xG
0.79Stevenage xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Stockport County 1.6 – 0.8 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockport County to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Stockport County or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stockport County / FT Stockport County✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Stockport County – last 6
LLWDWW
28 Apr
vs Port Vale
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Mansfield Town
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ AFC Wimbledon
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Bolton
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Wycombe
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Northampton
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stevenage – last 6
WLWDLL
21 Apr
vs Barnsley
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Bolton
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Blackpool
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Rotherham
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Plymouth
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Stevenage.
What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Stockport County or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stockport County vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Stockport County have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stevenage 19%.
How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Stevenage?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Stockport County 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Stockport County vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
