Columbus Crew vs New York City FC prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultColumbus Crew to win ✓53% · @1.88
Double chanceColumbus Crew or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC preview and prediction
The match
The US Open Cup sees Columbus Crew take on New York City FC on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Form guide
Columbus Crew's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Philadelphia Union 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
New York City FC's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with New York Red Bulls 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.0 for Columbus Crew and 1.3 for New York City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Columbus Crew 53%, draw 24%, New York City FC 23%.
Safer route: Columbus Crew or draw (77%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Columbus Crew 2–1 New York City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Columbus Crew53%fair 1.89 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
New York City FC23%fair 4.32 · @3.55
3.33Expected goals
2.03Columbus Crew xG
1.31New York City FC xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Columbus Crew 2.0 – 1.3 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win✓
53%
1.89
1.88
Double chance
Columbus Crew or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Half-time result
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Columbus Crew – last 6
DLLWWW
17 May
@ Philadelphia Union
1–1
D
14 May
@ New York Red Bulls
2–3
L
3 May
vs Minnesota United FC
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs One Knoxville
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
DWWDLW
17 May
@ New York Red Bulls
1–1
D
14 May
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–4
D
19 Apr
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Westchester SC
5–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Columbus Crew and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New York City FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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