Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu preview and prediction
The match
Zhetysu travel to Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov in the Cup on Wednesday 13 May (16:00 WAT) to face Ordabasy.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Altay 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zhetysu's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Zhenys 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Ordabasy and 0.8 for Zhetysu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordabasy 67%, draw 21%, Zhetysu 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ordabasy to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Ordabasy 2–0 Zhetysu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy67%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.75
Zhetysu12%fair 8.46 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.18Ordabasy xG
0.82Zhetysu xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.2 – 0.8 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ordabasy ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Ordabasy – last 5
DWWWW
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Zhenys
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Zhetysu – last 6
LWWWWW
9 May
vs Zhenys
2–3
L
29 Apr
@ Atyrau
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ulytau
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Irtysh
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Karshiga Almaty
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Kaspiy
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Zhetysu.
Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zhetysu 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zhenys2
Kyzyl-Zhar0
Kaisar1
FK Tobol Kostanay1