Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Tepatitlán or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tepatitlán to win @ 1.92 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓61% · @1.92
Double chanceTepatitlán or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.08
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Tepatitlán take on CDS Tampico Madero on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tepatitlán's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Cancún 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Tepatitlán and 0.7 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Tepatitlán to win at 1.92 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tepatitlán or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tepatitlán61%fair 1.65 · @1.92
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
CDS Tampico Madero14%fair 7.33 · @4.10
2.31Expected goals
1.65Tepatitlán xG
0.65CDS Tampico Madero xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.7 – 0.7 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tepatitlán to win✓
61%
1.65
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Tepatitlán or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tepatitlán / FT Tepatitlán✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.08
–
Form
Tepatitlán – last 6
DDLDWD
4 May
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
1–1
D
1 May
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Atlante FC
0–2
L
11 Apr
@ CA La Paz
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cancún
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
DWWWWW
4 May
@ Cancún
1–1
D
1 May
vs Cancún
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ CA La Paz
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs CA La Paz
2–0
W
20 Apr
vs Monarcas
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tepatitlán and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Tepatitlán or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CDS Tampico Madero 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
