Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Municipal vs Mixco preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Municipal take on Mixco on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Municipal are 2nd with 38 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Mixco sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Municipal's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Mixco 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mixco's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Municipal 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Municipal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Mixco 0–2 Municipal. Across their last 2 meetings Municipal have won 1, Mixco 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Municipal and 0.7 for Mixco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal 65%, draw 23%, Mixco 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Municipal 1–0 Mixco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
Mixco13%fair 7.75 · @8.20
2.48Expected goals
1.81Municipal xG
0.67Mixco xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.8 – 0.7 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Municipal vs Mixco?
On our numbers Municipal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Mixco?
Municipal vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
