Durango vs Deportiva Venados prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Durango to win @ 1.64 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDurango to win ✗66% · @1.64
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Durango vs Deportiva Venados preview and prediction
The match
Durango host Deportiva Venados in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Form guide
Durango's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Deportiva Venados 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportiva Venados's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Durango 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Deportiva Venados 2–1 Durango.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Durango and 0.9 for Deportiva Venados. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Durango to win at 1.64 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Durango 2–0 Deportiva Venados. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Durango66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
Deportiva Venados12%fair 8.30 · @4.50
3.11Expected goals
2.23Durango xG
0.88Deportiva Venados xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Durango 2.2 – 0.9 Deportiva Venados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Durango vs Deportiva Venados?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Durango vs Deportiva Venados?
On our numbers Durango have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportiva Venados 12%.
How many goals will there be in Durango vs Deportiva Venados?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durango vs Deportiva Venados?
Our predicted score is Durango 2–0 Deportiva Venados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Durango vs Deportiva Venados?
Durango vs Deportiva Venados (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
