Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Caiquetio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaiquetio to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio preview and prediction
The match
Jong Aruba host Caiquetio in the Division Di Honor on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Caiquetio's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat River Plate 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Jong Aruba and 1.7 for Caiquetio. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Aruba 38%, draw 23%, Caiquetio 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Caiquetio to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong Aruba 1–1 Caiquetio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Aruba38%fair 2.66 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Caiquetio40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
3.33Expected goals
1.64Jong Aruba xG
1.69Caiquetio xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Jong Aruba 1.6 – 1.7 Caiquetio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caiquetio to win✗
40%
2.52
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caiquetio / FT Caiquetio✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.93
–
Form
Jong Aruba – last 2
LL
27 Apr
vs Estrella
2–4
L
15 Apr
@ River Plate
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Caiquetio – last 3
WWD
7 May
vs River Plate
3–0
W
29 Apr
@ Unistars
6–0
W
21 Apr
@ Brazil Juniors
0–0
D
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Aruba and Caiquetio.
What is the prediction for Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio?
On our numbers Jong Aruba have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caiquetio 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio?
Our predicted score is Jong Aruba 1–1 Caiquetio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio?
Jong Aruba vs Caiquetio (Division Di Honor) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
