Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✓71% · @1.09
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
FC Noah vs Ararat preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees FC Noah take on Ararat on Tuesday 19 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Abovyan City Stadium. FC Noah are 1st with 34 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Ararat sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Noah's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat FC Urartu 4–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ararat's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to FC Urartu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Noah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for FC Noah and 0.8 for Ararat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Noah 71%, draw 15%, Ararat 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 52% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Noah 2–1 Ararat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Noah71%fair 1.40 · @1.09
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @7.40
Ararat14%fair 7.41 · @20.00
3.14Expected goals
2.30FC Noah xG
0.85Ararat xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Noah 2.3 – 0.8 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Noah to win✓
71%
1.40
1.09
Double chance
FC Noah or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Half-time result
FC Noah ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Noah / FT FC Noah✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
FC Noah – last 6
WWWDWW
14 May
@ FC Urartu
4–2
W
10 May
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
6 May
@ Gandzasar
4–1
W
29 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Van
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ararat – last 6
LWLWWL
10 May
vs FC Urartu
0–1
L
1 May
@ Shirak
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Alashkert
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ FC Urartu
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ Van
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Noah and Ararat.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Noah vs Ararat?
On our numbers FC Noah have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ararat 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Noah vs Ararat?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Noah vs Ararat?
Our predicted score is FC Noah 2–1 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Noah vs Ararat?
FC Noah vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Abovyan City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
