BKMA host Ararat-Armenia in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. BKMA are 11th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BKMA's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Alashkert 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to FC Noah 0–4 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.6 for BKMA and 2.2 for Ararat-Armenia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Ararat-Armenia to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: BKMA 0–2 Ararat-Armenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BKMA9%fair 11.20 · @10.25
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @4.75
Ararat-Armenia74%fair 1.35 · @1.25
2.84Expected goals
0.62BKMA xG
2.22Ararat-Armenia xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–113%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: BKMA 0.6 – 2.2 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
6.95
–
Form
BKMA – last 6
DWDDDL
2 May
vs Alashkert
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Van
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gandzasar
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Shirak
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Shirak
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
LWDWLD
10 May
vs FC Noah
0–4
L
6 May
vs Pyunik Yerevan
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Shirak
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BKMA and Ararat-Armenia.
What is the prediction for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our pick is Ararat-Armenia to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
On our numbers BKMA have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ararat-Armenia 74%.
How many goals will there be in BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our predicted score is BKMA 0–2 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
