Chesterfield vs Notts County prediction & analysis
74%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win49% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.50
Chesterfield vs Notts County preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Chesterfield take on Notts County on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at SMH Group Stadium.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Grimsby 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Notts County's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Newport County 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Chesterfield and 1.1 for Notts County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesterfield 49%, draw 22%, Notts County 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–1 Notts County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield49%fair 2.04 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Notts County29%fair 3.41 · @3.30
2.70Expected goals
1.56Chesterfield xG
1.13Notts County xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.6 – 1.1 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win
49%
2.04
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.50
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
WWWLWD
14 Apr
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Barrow
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Cheltenham
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Notts County – last 6
WLWLWW
6 Apr
vs Newport County
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Salford City
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Harrogate Town
2–0
W
24 Mar
@ Oldham
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Accrington ST
4–0
W
21 Feb
vs Tranmere
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Notts County.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Notts County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Notts County?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Notts County 29%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Notts County?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Notts County?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Notts County?
Chesterfield vs Notts County (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
