Value bet: Malisheva to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalisheva to win ✗44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Ferizaj vs Malisheva preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Ferizaj take on Malisheva on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ferizaj's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Gjilani 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Malisheva's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Gjilani 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Malisheva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Ferizaj and 1.4 for Malisheva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Malisheva to win at 2.60 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ferizaj 1–1 Malisheva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferizaj34%fair 2.97 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Malisheva44%fair 2.26 · @2.60
2.60Expected goals
1.19Ferizaj xG
1.42Malisheva xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ferizaj 1.2 – 1.4 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malisheva to win✗
44%
2.26
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malisheva / FT Malisheva✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Ferizaj – last 6
DLLDWW
3 May
@ Gjilani
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Dukagjini
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Ballkani
0–3
L
22 Apr
vs Llapi
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Llapi
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Prishtina
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malisheva – last 6
WWLWLW
29 Apr
vs Gjilani
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Ballkani
4–2
W
5 Apr
@ Drita
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Llapi
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Drenica Skënderaj
2–4
L
9 Mar
vs Prishtina
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferizaj and Malisheva.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ferizaj vs Malisheva?
On our numbers Ferizaj have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malisheva 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ferizaj vs Malisheva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferizaj vs Malisheva?
Our predicted score is Ferizaj 1–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ferizaj vs Malisheva?
Ferizaj vs Malisheva (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
