Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Noah to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
FC Urartu vs FC Noah preview and prediction
The match
FC Urartu host FC Noah in the Cup on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Form guide
FC Urartu's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Ararat 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Noah's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Ararat-Armenia 4–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Noah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for FC Urartu and 1.8 for FC Noah. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Urartu 18%, draw 20%, FC Noah 62%.
Safer route: FC Noah or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FC Noah to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Noah or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Urartu 0–1 FC Noah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Urartu18%fair 5.70 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.10
FC Noah62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
2.56Expected goals
0.78FC Urartu xG
1.78FC Noah xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: FC Urartu 0.8 – 1.8 FC Noah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Noah to win✓
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
FC Noah or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
FC Noah ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Noah / FT FC Noah✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
FC Urartu – last 6
WWLLDW
10 May
@ Ararat
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Andranik
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Pyunik Yerevan
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Alashkert
1–3
L
15 Apr
@ Andranik
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Van
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Noah – last 6
WWDWWW
10 May
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
6 May
@ Gandzasar
4–1
W
29 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs Van
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Gandzasar
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Urartu and FC Noah.
Our pick is FC Noah or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Urartu vs FC Noah?
On our numbers FC Urartu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Noah 62%.
How many goals will there be in FC Urartu vs FC Noah?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Urartu vs FC Noah?
Our predicted score is FC Urartu 0–1 FC Noah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Urartu vs FC Noah?
FC Urartu vs FC Noah (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
