CD Motagua travel to Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas in the Liga Nacional on Wednesday 13 May (01:00 WAT) to face Olancho. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Olancho's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat CD Motagua 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Motagua's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Olancho 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Olancho arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished CD Motagua 1–2 Olancho. Across their last 3 meetings Olancho have won 1, CD Motagua 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Olancho and 1.5 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olancho 38%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho38%fair 2.65 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
CD Motagua40%fair 2.52 · @2.35
2.89Expected goals
1.42Olancho xG
1.47CD Motagua xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.4 – 1.5 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Olancho have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 40%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Olancho vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
