Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✗59% · @1.68
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✗82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.69
CD Motagua vs Olancho preview and prediction
The match
CD Motagua host Olancho in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Olancho sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Génesis 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Olancho's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Génesis 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olancho arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Olancho 0–0 CD Motagua. Across their last 2 meetings CD Motagua have won 0, Olancho 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for CD Motagua and 1.0 for Olancho. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 59%, draw 23%, Olancho 18%.
Safer route: CD Motagua or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–1 Olancho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
Olancho18%fair 5.51 · @4.20
2.94Expected goals
1.94CD Motagua xG
0.99Olancho xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.9 – 1.0 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olancho 18%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Olancho?
CD Motagua vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
