Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaysandu to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
The sees Águia de Marabá take on Paysandu on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.
Form guide
Águia de Marabá's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Porto Velho 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Paysandu's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Trem 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Águia de Marabá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Águia de Marabá and 1.6 for Paysandu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águia de Marabá 34%, draw 22%, Paysandu 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Águia de Marabá 1–1 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águia de Marabá34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Paysandu44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
2.99Expected goals
1.38Águia de Marabá xG
1.61Paysandu xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Águia de Marabá 1.4 – 1.6 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✓
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Águia de Marabá – last 6
DWWWWL
29 Apr
@ Porto Velho
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Remo
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Galvez
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
4–2
W
19 Mar
@ Juventude
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
WLWLWL
29 Apr
@ Trem
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Independência
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Nacional AM
0–7
L
5 Apr
@ Volta Redonda
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Guaporé
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águia de Marabá and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Águia de Marabá have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paysandu 44%.
How many goals will there be in Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Águia de Marabá 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu () kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
