Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: BFA to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGarliava to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17
BFA vs Garliava preview and prediction
The match
Garliava travel to Sirvintu stadionas in the Cup on Tuesday 19 May (17:00 WAT) to face BFA.
Form guide
BFA's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Babrungas 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Garliava's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Ekranas 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for BFA and 1.8 for Garliava. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFA 37%, draw 23%, Garliava 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Value angle: BFA to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BFA 1–1 Garliava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFA37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Garliava40%fair 2.52 · @2.15
3.50Expected goals
1.72BFA xG
1.78Garliava xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: BFA 1.7 – 1.8 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Garliava to win✗
40%
2.52
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Garliava / FT Garliava✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Form
BFA – last 6
LWWDWL
1 May
@ Babrungas
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs Babrungas
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Garliava – last 5
WWLLW
2 May
vs Ekranas
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Alternatyvus FK
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Tauras
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFA and Garliava.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win BFA vs Garliava?
On our numbers BFA have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Garliava 40%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Garliava?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFA vs Garliava?
Our predicted score is BFA 1–1 Garliava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is BFA vs Garliava?
BFA vs Garliava (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirvintu stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pempininkai Gargždai1
Minija1
FK Trakai0
Kauno Žalgiris4